Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Barron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Barron 47.1% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 50.0%
Defensive zone
Barron 57.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.1%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Gaudreau
Barron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
48.8% (371)
-3.8%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
33.3% (3)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
42.0% (174)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Barron is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Barron
Home
42.6% (277)
44.9% (283)
Away
42.9% (259)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Gaudreau
Barron
P1
43.8%
44.8%
P2
44.8%
50.7%
P3
39.2%
43.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%