Frederick Gaudreau vs Nick Bjugstad
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 47.4%). Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 56.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
46.7% (398)
+2.5%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
51.6% (31)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
62.5% (8)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Home
47.1% (546)
47.3% (220)
Away
49.4% (551)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
P1
46.8%
46.1%
P2
46.8%
46.3%
P3
51.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |