Frederick Gaudreau vs Nick Bonino
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Bonino 48.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 53.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 56.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Gaudreau
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Gaudreau
Bonino
Last 8: Gaudreau 2-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
Gaudreau
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Gaudreau
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
48.1% (324)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
57.9% (38)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
44.3% (88)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Bonino
Home
51.1% (507)
52.0% (244)
Away
47.4% (508)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Gaudreau
Bonino
P1
49.4%
48.0%
P2
47.4%
42.9%
P3
51.2%
53.9%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |