Frederick Gaudreau vs Nicklas Backstrom
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 52.3% vs Backstrom 48.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 67.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 78.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Gaudreau
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaudreau
Backstrom
Last 5: Gaudreau 3-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Gaudreau
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (118)
48.7% (635)
+5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
42.0% (50)
+58.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (42)
50.0% (46)
+0.0%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +58.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Gaudreau is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backstrom is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backstrom
Home
50.0% (64)
48.0% (348)
Away
56.1% (98)
48.6% (383)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backstrom
P1
61.7%
49.6%
P2
50.9%
48.2%
P3
50.0%
47.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |