Frederick Gaudreau vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 52.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.4%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 54.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Gaudreau
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudreau
Backstrom
Last 5: Gaudreau 2-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Gaudreau
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Gaudreau
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
51.4% (473)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
39.5% (38)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
33.3% (3)
+17.0%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backstrom
Home
51.1% (507)
53.6% (278)
Away
47.4% (508)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backstrom
P1
49.4%
51.5%
P2
47.4%
56.0%
P3
51.2%
43.5%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |