Frederick Gaudreau vs Sam Lafferty
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 55.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 56.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Gaudreau
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaudreau
Lafferty
Last 9: Gaudreau 5-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
48.0% (1,413)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
45.7% (46)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
43.5% (184)
+3.1%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Lafferty
Home
49.2% (2,437)
47.3% (833)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Gaudreau
Lafferty
P1
49.7%
49.4%
P2
47.3%
43.1%
P3
49.1%
49.8%
OT
36.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |