Frederick Gaudreau vs Sean Kuraly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 52.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 60.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Gaudreau
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
51.8% (444)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
45.3% (150)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Home
42.6% (277)
54.6% (304)
Away
42.9% (259)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kuraly
P1
43.8%
55.2%
P2
44.8%
45.7%
P3
39.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |