Frederick Gaudreau vs Wyatt Johnston
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Johnston 44.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 53.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 60.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 52.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Gaudreau
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaudreau
Johnston
Last 5: Gaudreau 3-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
42.5% (318)
+5.9%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
55.6% (9)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
62.5% (8)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Johnston
Home
51.1% (507)
40.5% (168)
Away
47.4% (508)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Gaudreau
Johnston
P1
49.4%
46.9%
P2
47.4%
40.4%
P3
51.2%
41.9%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |