Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.4% vs Hayes 43.8% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Gauthier
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
42.7% (478)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
45.2% (31)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gauthier is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Gauthier shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Hayes
Home
45.7% (46)
43.5% (232)
Away
41.4% (29)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Gauthier
Hayes
P1
51.9%
40.1%
P2
33.3%
44.8%
P3
44.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%