Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 50.7% vs Zacha 42.0% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 57.5%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 95.4%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 74.9%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Gauthier
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Gauthier
Zacha
Last 5: Gauthier 5-0 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
2
0
Gauthier
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gauthier
3
0
Gauthier
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (154)
40.9% (399)
+13.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
39.5% (43)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
26.7% (15)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Gauthier is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Gauthier shoots left. Zacha is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Zacha
Home
52.4% (126)
41.4% (261)
Away
49.5% (109)
38.8% (196)
By Period
Gauthier
Zacha
P1
47.3%
38.6%
P2
52.4%
44.4%
P3
55.0%
36.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
51.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |