Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.4% vs Zacha 50.1% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 66.2%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 62.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Gauthier
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
48.0% (296)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
50.0% (22)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Gauthier is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Gauthier shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Zacha
Home
45.7% (46)
48.9% (223)
Away
41.4% (29)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Gauthier
Zacha
P1
51.9%
47.9%
P2
33.3%
48.3%
P3
44.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%