Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Gauthier wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.4% vs Nash 51.7% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 65.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 68.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 55.0%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Gauthier
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
54.1% (292)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
45.9% (98)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Gauthier is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Gauthier shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Nash
Home
45.7% (46)
56.3% (183)
Away
41.4% (29)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Gauthier
Nash
P1
51.9%
58.9%
P2
33.3%
51.0%
P3
44.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%