Scouting Report
Fredrik Olofsson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Olofsson wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olofsson 41.7% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 80.2%
Defensive zone
Olofsson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 58.5%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Olofsson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Olofsson
Carlsson
Last 7: Olofsson 3-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Olofsson
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Olofsson
2
0
Olofsson
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Olofsson
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olofsson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (311)
34.4% (535)
+6.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
42.9% (21)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
40.0% (5)
-6.7%
On power play, Olofsson has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Olofsson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Olofsson shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Olofsson
Carlsson
Home
40.5% (168)
38.6% (254)
Away
39.1% (233)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Olofsson
Carlsson
P1
44.6%
35.9%
P2
40.1%
33.8%
P3
35.2%
34.3%
Final 5 min
36.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olofsson
44.0%▬
45.0%
39.7%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Fredrik Olofsson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Fredrik Olofsson |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Fredrik Olofsson |