Fredrik Olofsson vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Olofsson wins 38.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olofsson 41.7% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olofsson 74.5%
Defensive zone
Olofsson 72.0%
Neutral zone
Olofsson 80.6%
Result
Fredrik Olofsson favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Olofsson
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Olofsson
Kastelic
Last 5: Olofsson 1-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Olofsson
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Olofsson
1
0
Olofsson
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Olofsson
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olofsson
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (319)
57.0% (1,613)
-15.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
80.0% (25)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
53.6% (274)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Olofsson is 38.2% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Olofsson shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Olofsson
Kastelic
Home
40.5% (173)
58.9% (895)
Away
39.0% (236)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Olofsson
Kastelic
P1
43.6%
58.5%
P2
40.3%
56.9%
P3
35.7%
55.3%
Final 5 min
36.1%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olofsson
44.0%▬
45.0%
39.6%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Fredrik Olofsson |