Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dumont on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dumont wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dumont 53.5% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 88.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 83.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Dumont
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dumont
O'Reilly
Last 8: Dumont 5-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Dumont
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dumont
5
0
Dumont
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Dumont
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dumont
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (197)
57.9% (1,179)
-4.6%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
63.0% (292)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (40)
53.8% (320)
+6.2%
On power play, Dumont has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dumont is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Dumont shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Dumont
O'Reilly
Home
62.1% (116)
61.3% (884)
Away
48.4% (126)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Dumont
O'Reilly
P1
57.1%
55.5%
P2
56.5%
61.0%
P3
53.0%
56.8%
OT
0.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
61.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dumont
34.0%▼
44.0%
55.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |