Gabriel Dumont vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dumont on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dumont 50.6% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 88.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 87.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Dumont
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dumont
O'Reilly
Last 8: Dumont 5-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Dumont
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dumont
5
0
Dumont
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Dumont
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dumont
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (385)
56.2% (15,260)
-6.3%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
58.8% (3,445)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (52)
51.4% (2,811)
+2.4%
On power play, Dumont has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dumont is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Dumont shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Dumont
O'Reilly
Home
52.2% (228)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.3% (217)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Dumont
O'Reilly
P1
50.4%
55.6%
P2
50.6%
57.0%
P3
51.5%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dumont
34.0%▼
44.0%
50.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |