Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Vilardi 46.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 90.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 76.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 88.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Henrique
Vilardi
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Henrique
Vilardi
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Vilardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Vilardi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
4
Henrique
Vilardi
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
2
Henrique
Vilardi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
45.2% (564)
+9.4%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
53.3% (45)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
48.0% (25)
+3.9%
On even strength, Henrique has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Henrique is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Henrique shoots left. Vilardi is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Henrique
Vilardi
Home
58.1% (310)
47.3% (330)
Away
51.9% (237)
44.4% (304)
By Period
Henrique
Vilardi
P1
56.1%
49.0%
P2
53.6%
43.2%
P3
55.7%
45.7%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |