Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.2%). Vilardi wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Larsson 46.9% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 66.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 53.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Vilardi
Larsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
46.7% (345)
-0.2%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
61.1% (18)
-17.8%
On power play, Larsson has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Vilardi is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Vilardi shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Larsson
Home
51.6% (64)
52.1% (167)
Away
40.3% (67)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Vilardi
Larsson
P1
48.9%
50.0%
P2
42.9%
46.7%
P3
45.2%
42.6%
Final 5 min
41.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%