Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.6% vs Hartman 43.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 82.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 65.3%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 56.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Vilardi
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Vilardi
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (53)
42.4% (618)
+4.8%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
45.9% (61)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Vilardi is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Vilardi shoots right. Hartman is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Hartman
Home
43.2% (37)
41.9% (372)
Away
50.0% (36)
43.5% (322)
By Period
Vilardi
Hartman
P1
55.2%
41.3%
P2
39.3%
40.8%
P3
43.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
46.0%▬
46.0%
46.6%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |