Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Hartman 45.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 70.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 76.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Vilardi
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Vilardi
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (69)
44.8% (830)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
47.8% (92)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.5% (16)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Vilardi is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Vilardi shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Hartman
Home
40.8% (49)
45.0% (515)
Away
46.7% (45)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Vilardi
Hartman
P1
50.0%
46.5%
P2
37.1%
39.9%
P3
43.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |