Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.6% vs McLeod 46.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 77.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 85.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 85.0%
15.0%
85.0%
Vilardi
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Vilardi
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Vilardi
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (53)
48.2% (587)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
49.3% (67)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.5% (210)
-39.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Vilardi is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Vilardi shoots right. McLeod is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Vilardi
McLeod
Home
43.2% (37)
47.3% (450)
Away
50.0% (36)
44.9% (414)
By Period
Vilardi
McLeod
P1
55.2%
52.6%
P2
39.3%
43.3%
P3
43.8%
43.6%
Final 5 min
60.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
46.0%▬
46.0%
46.6%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |