Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 49.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 55.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 63.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Vilardi
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Vilardi
Crosby
Last 6: Vilardi 3-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
2
1
Vilardi
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Vilardi
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (113)
56.2% (1,451)
-12.0%
Power Play
64.1% (39)
61.4% (293)
+2.7%
On even strength, Crosby has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Vilardi is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Vilardi shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Crosby
Home
38.5% (39)
59.1% (939)
Away
53.1% (113)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Vilardi
Crosby
P1
52.6%
54.9%
P2
35.3%
60.8%
P3
61.4%
55.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
49.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |