Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Haas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Haas 43.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haas 61.1%
Defensive zone
Haas 66.3%
Neutral zone
Haas 61.0%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Stepan
Haas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stepan
Haas
Last 6: Stepan 1-5 Haas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haas
0
1
Stepan
Haas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
0
1
Stepan
Haas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
1
3
Stepan
Haas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Haas
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
41.2% (376)
+6.1%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
52.0% (25)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
57.1% (7)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Haas has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haas shoots right. Stepan is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Stepan shoots right. Haas is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Stepan
Haas
Home
50.4% (560)
44.8% (181)
Away
45.1% (637)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Stepan
Haas
P1
47.4%
36.8%
P2
47.0%
45.1%
P3
48.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |