Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Haas wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 44.3% vs Backlund 49.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Haas 64.5%
Defensive zone
Haas 69.7%
Neutral zone
Haas 63.7%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Haas
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Haas
Backlund
Last 10: Haas 2-8 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
Haas
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
3
1
Haas
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
6
Haas
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (616)
49.7% (13,231)
-7.3%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
51.5% (1,323)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
43.9% (2,385)
+6.9%
On even strength, Backlund has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Haas is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Haas shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,158).
Home / Away
Haas
Backlund
Home
45.8% (371)
49.8% (8,434)
Away
41.1% (343)
48.3% (8,510)
By Period
Haas
Backlund
P1
39.6%
48.6%
P2
43.8%
50.3%
P3
47.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |