Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 47.1%). Smith wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.7% vs Veleno 47.2% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.9%
Defensive zone
Veleno 57.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Smith
Veleno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (212)
47.4% (2,301)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
51.0% (98)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
34.1% (82)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Smith is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots left. Veleno is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,608).
Home / Away
Smith
Veleno
Home
43.0% (114)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
50.4% (113)
48.6% (1,345)
By Period
Smith
Veleno
P1
45.6%
47.8%
P2
49.4%
47.5%
P3
45.0%
46.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.7%
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%