Scouting Report
Gemel Smith holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.9% vs Toews 58.4% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Toews 53.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 63.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 54.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Smith
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
66.7% (9)
58.0% (901)
+8.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
69.5% (226)
-69.5%
On power play, Toews has a +69.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Smith is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Smith shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Smith
Toews
Home
25.0% (4)
59.3% (637)
Away
83.3% (6)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Smith
Toews
P1
50.0%
61.5%
P2
75.0%
55.2%
P3
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
60.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%