Scouting Report
Gemel Smith holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.9% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+14.5%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 62.4%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 51.3%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 52.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Smith
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
66.7% (9)
46.5% (101)
+20.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
On power play, Lorentz has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Smith is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Smith shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Smith
Lorentz
Home
25.0% (4)
49.1% (53)
Away
83.3% (6)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Smith
Lorentz
P1
50.0%
48.6%
P2
75.0%
36.7%
P3
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
60.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%