Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brule 51.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brule 73.9%
Defensive zone
Brule 69.5%
Neutral zone
Brule 69.6%
Result
Gilbert Brule favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Brule
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Brule
Stastny
Last 7: Brule 0-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Brule
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Brule
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Brule
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brule
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (171)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.5% (41)
59.1% (1,994)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
52.9% (1,119)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Brule is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Brule shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Brule
Stastny
Home
50.9% (108)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
52.7% (112)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Brule
Stastny
P1
62.3%
56.3%
P2
53.4%
55.4%
P3
39.1%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
69.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brule
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |