Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 51.0%). Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 50.1% vs McKegg 50.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cave 61.0%
Neutral zone
McKegg 52.6%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Cave
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cave
McKegg
Last 7: Cave 3-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
4
Cave
McKegg
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (356)
51.6% (281)
-0.8%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
25.0% (4)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
0.0% (1)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Cave has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Cave shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Cave
McKegg
Home
46.7% (184)
51.1% (133)
Away
53.0% (215)
51.0% (153)
By Period
Cave
McKegg
P1
45.3%
48.9%
P2
51.9%
48.9%
P3
53.6%
54.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Colby Cave |