Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 50.8% vs Barbashev 46.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 80.8%
Defensive zone
McKegg 56.6%
Neutral zone
McKegg 79.3%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
McKegg
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McKegg
Barbashev
Last 5: McKegg 4-1 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
1
McKegg
Barbashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
0
McKegg
Barbashev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (281)
46.5% (389)
+5.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
16.7% (6)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.3% (46)
-41.3%
On penalty kill, Barbashev has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
McKegg shoots left. Barbashev is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
McKegg
Barbashev
Home
51.1% (133)
45.9% (233)
Away
51.0% (153)
45.2% (208)
By Period
McKegg
Barbashev
P1
48.9%
46.5%
P2
48.9%
48.3%
P3
54.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |