Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 60.0%
Defensive zone
McKegg 61.4%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 51.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
McKegg
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McKegg
Barbashev
Last 8: McKegg 4-4 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
2
McKegg
Barbashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McKegg
Barbashev
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Barbashev
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
42.0% (1,738)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
46.1% (89)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
36.7% (139)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Home / Away
McKegg
Barbashev
Home
50.4% (554)
42.4% (932)
Away
48.1% (699)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
McKegg
Barbashev
P1
48.7%
40.7%
P2
49.9%
42.3%
P3
48.6%
42.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |