Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Rooney 46.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 51.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 64.5%
Neutral zone
Rooney 57.4%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
McKegg
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McKegg
Rooney
Last 6: McKegg 2-4 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
1
McKegg
Rooney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
3
McKegg
Rooney
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
46.7% (2,042)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
41.7% (48)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
43.4% (267)
+5.4%
On power play, McKegg has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
McKegg
Rooney
Home
50.4% (554)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
48.1% (699)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
McKegg
Rooney
P1
48.7%
48.1%
P2
49.9%
47.1%
P3
48.6%
43.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |