Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.7%). Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 56.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 78.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 61.6%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
McKegg
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McKegg
Brodziak
Last 6: McKegg 5-1 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McKegg
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
0
McKegg
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
50.5% (6,432)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
52.8% (326)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
45.5% (1,344)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
McKegg shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
McKegg
Brodziak
Home
50.4% (554)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
48.1% (699)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
McKegg
Brodziak
P1
48.7%
49.2%
P2
49.9%
50.7%
P3
48.6%
49.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |