Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Cullen 53.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 50.4%
Defensive zone
Cullen 50.6%
Neutral zone
Cullen 53.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
McKegg
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McKegg
Cullen
Last 10: McKegg 5-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
2
McKegg
Cullen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
McKegg
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McKegg
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
54.8% (5,371)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
52.3% (421)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
48.0% (953)
+0.8%
On even strength, Cullen has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
McKegg
Cullen
Home
50.4% (554)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
48.1% (699)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
McKegg
Cullen
P1
48.7%
54.7%
P2
49.9%
52.8%
P3
48.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |