Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. McKegg wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 56.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
McKegg
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
51.5% (983)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
45.3% (159)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
McKegg shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
McKegg
Backlund
Home
45.3% (64)
51.6% (653)
Away
44.8% (96)
49.3% (576)
By Period
McKegg
Backlund
P1
48.1%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
37.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
40.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%