Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. McKegg wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Paul 50.4% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
McKegg 65.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 62.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
McKegg
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
53.0% (644)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
42.9% (177)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
McKegg shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
McKegg
Paul
Home
45.3% (64)
52.5% (516)
Away
44.8% (96)
47.1% (329)
By Period
McKegg
Paul
P1
48.1%
47.6%
P2
50.0%
48.4%
P3
37.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
40.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%