Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
McKegg leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 88.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 64.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 77.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
McKegg
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
McKegg
Stastny
Last 10: McKegg 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McKegg
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
5
1
McKegg
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
McKegg
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
McKegg
Stastny
Home
50.4% (554)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.1% (699)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
McKegg
Stastny
P1
48.7%
56.3%
P2
49.9%
55.4%
P3
48.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |