Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. McKegg wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.9%
Defensive zone
McKegg 56.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
McKegg
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
59.2% (370)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
51.7% (58)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
McKegg shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
McKegg
Stastny
Home
45.3% (64)
57.7% (215)
Away
44.8% (96)
55.6% (257)
By Period
McKegg
Stastny
P1
48.1%
57.7%
P2
50.0%
54.2%
P3
37.9%
57.7%
Final 5 min
40.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%