Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.5% vs Stastny 54.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
McKegg leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 93.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 71.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 92.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
McKegg
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
McKegg
Stastny
Last 10: McKegg 8-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
5
0
McKegg
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McKegg
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (189)
54.8% (1,130)
-6.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
59.1% (235)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
49.3% (150)
+8.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McKegg is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
McKegg shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
McKegg
Stastny
Home
52.9% (102)
55.5% (803)
Away
46.6% (131)
54.2% (712)
By Period
McKegg
Stastny
P1
48.5%
57.4%
P2
49.4%
52.5%
P3
50.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |