Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McKegg wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.5% vs Zacha 44.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 70.0%
Defensive zone
McKegg 72.7%
Neutral zone
McKegg 70.4%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
McKegg
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McKegg
Zacha
Last 5: McKegg 4-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McKegg
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
0
McKegg
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (184)
42.8% (514)
+6.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
51.9% (79)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
36.1% (61)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. McKegg is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (143).
McKegg shoots left. Zacha is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
McKegg
Zacha
Home
50.0% (112)
45.0% (289)
Away
48.5% (99)
41.9% (365)
By Period
McKegg
Zacha
P1
42.4%
47.4%
P2
55.4%
43.8%
P3
49.3%
37.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |