Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Zacha 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.9%
Defensive zone
McKegg 57.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
McKegg
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McKegg
Zacha
Last 7: McKegg 4-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
McKegg
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
0
McKegg
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
48.9% (5,102)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
55.6% (804)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
42.2% (555)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
McKegg
Zacha
Home
50.4% (554)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
48.1% (699)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
McKegg
Zacha
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
49.9%
49.2%
P3
48.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |