Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Nash 51.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 69.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 91.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 80.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
McKegg
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
McKegg
Nash
Last 7: McKegg 6-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
0
McKegg
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
54.1% (292)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
45.9% (98)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. McKegg is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
McKegg shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
McKegg
Nash
Home
45.3% (64)
56.3% (183)
Away
44.8% (96)
48.6% (214)
By Period
McKegg
Nash
P1
48.1%
58.9%
P2
50.0%
51.0%
P3
37.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
40.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Riley Nash |