Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
McKegg 68.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 69.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 55.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
McKegg
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
53.2% (299)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
46.5% (86)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. McKegg is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
McKegg shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
McKegg
Carpenter
Home
45.3% (64)
54.6% (207)
Away
44.8% (96)
48.1% (181)
By Period
McKegg
Carpenter
P1
48.1%
52.3%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
37.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
40.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%