Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
McKegg 72.0%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 74.8%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 50.5%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
McKegg
Pahlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
53.0% (1,716)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
60.0% (35)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
49.8% (548)
-1.0%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
McKegg
Pahlsson
Home
50.4% (554)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
48.1% (699)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
McKegg
Pahlsson
P1
48.7%
54.6%
P2
49.9%
50.7%
P3
48.6%
51.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%