Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mills on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mills wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Campbell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 56.2% vs Campbell 50.6% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mills 87.1%
Defensive zone
Mills 70.0%
Neutral zone
Mills 77.7%
Result
Brad Mills favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Mills
Campbell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Mills
Campbell
Last 6: Mills 4-2 Campbell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mills
3
0
Mills
Campbell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Campbell
1
2
Mills
Campbell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Campbell
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (98)
52.0% (558)
+8.2%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
55.6% (18)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
44.0% (100)
+10.5%
On power play, Mills has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Campbell shoots left. Mills is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Mills shoots right. Campbell is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Mills
Campbell
Home
65.3% (72)
53.6% (351)
Away
55.6% (54)
47.7% (327)
By Period
Mills
Campbell
P1
57.5%
53.2%
P2
60.9%
49.3%
P3
65.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
61.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
61.1%
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Brad Mills |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Brad Mills |