Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 40.8% vs McCann 48.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 52.1%
Defensive zone
McCann 54.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lapierre
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lapierre
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
McCann
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Lapierre
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (275)
48.8% (260)
-10.6%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
37.0% (27)
-37.0%
On power play, McCann has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Lapierre is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Lapierre shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Lapierre
McCann
Home
37.3% (153)
51.0% (143)
Away
37.8% (127)
45.1% (164)
By Period
Lapierre
McCann
P1
46.1%
53.6%
P2
38.1%
52.0%
P3
25.9%
37.6%
Final 5 min
30.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
34.0%▼
40.5%
37.5%
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |