Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 39.8% vs Veleno 47.2% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 82.0%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 77.1%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 74.2%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Lapierre
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lapierre
Veleno
Last 5: Lapierre 1-4 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Lapierre
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Lapierre
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (644)
47.4% (2,311)
-8.7%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
51.0% (98)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
36.4% (88)
-36.4%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Lapierre is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Lapierre shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Veleno
Home
39.1% (366)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
37.3% (292)
48.6% (1,361)
By Period
Lapierre
Veleno
P1
46.8%
48.0%
P2
38.1%
47.7%
P3
28.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
34.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
38.3%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |