Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lapierre wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 39.8% vs Kunin 46.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 62.4%
Defensive zone
Kunin 86.0%
Neutral zone
Kunin 79.7%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Lapierre
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lapierre
Kunin
Last 8: Lapierre 5-3 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
3
Lapierre
Kunin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (644)
47.1% (1,622)
-8.4%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
46.4% (138)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.2% (333)
-40.2%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Lapierre is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Lapierre shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Kunin
Home
39.1% (366)
45.5% (1,048)
Away
37.3% (292)
46.4% (1,045)
By Period
Lapierre
Kunin
P1
46.8%
47.9%
P2
38.1%
45.7%
P3
28.9%
43.9%
Final 5 min
34.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
38.3%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |