Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 40.8% vs Cates 45.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 50.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 72.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 72.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Lapierre
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lapierre
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (275)
44.3% (271)
-6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
77.8% (18)
-77.8%
On power play, Cates has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lapierre is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Lapierre shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Cates
Home
37.3% (153)
52.0% (148)
Away
37.8% (127)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Lapierre
Cates
P1
46.1%
42.7%
P2
38.1%
42.9%
P3
25.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |