Henrik Borgstrom vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Borgstrom wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 43.4% vs Pageau 55.0% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 75.4%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 70.9%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 77.0%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Borgstrom
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Borgstrom
Pageau
Last 7: Borgstrom 2-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Borgstrom
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Borgstrom
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (193)
55.8% (1,000)
-14.9%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
56.6% (182)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.2% (170)
-51.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Borgstrom is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Borgstrom shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Pageau
Home
37.6% (93)
57.1% (674)
Away
42.3% (111)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Borgstrom
Pageau
P1
41.0%
56.9%
P2
40.3%
54.5%
P3
39.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.2%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |